Efficient Market Hypothesis
Explanation
EMH, formalized by Eugene Fama in 1970, comes in three forms: (1) Weak — prices reflect all past trading information (technical analysis can't work); (2) Semi-strong — prices reflect all public information (fundamental analysis can't work); (3) Strong — prices reflect all information, including insider knowledge. While strong-form EMH is clearly violated (insider trading is profitable), the debate over semi-strong efficiency continues. The existence of market anomalies (momentum, value, size effects) challenges EMH, but proponents argue these are compensation for risk, not inefficiency.
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